22
Sea Of Doubt
6yo Mare · 12-0 · OR 100
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Downpatrick | BHA93 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | BHA101 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Tramore | BHA101 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA93 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA100 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA92 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 2386% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 23. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 18/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |