16

Shortt Fuse
5yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 83
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y
#23
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#23
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Fairyhouse | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-04 | Naas | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Punchestown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 2327% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +10.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 23. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 10th | 250/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/03/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |