16

Shortt Fuse

5yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 83

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y

#23

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#23

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 4 starts at long odds over hurdles. Off since the spring and needs this switch to handicaps to spark major progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 15/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f104y Hvy 15915/02C8C8 @ Naas 04/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR - · 2m Sft 1594/03C8C8 @ Down Royal 12/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f170y Goo 15312/04C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 23
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-12Down Royal?7th7th0
2026-04-04Fairyhouse?0
2026-03-04Naas?8th8th0
2026-02-15Punchestown?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/024/0312/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 2327% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%

Delivery trend +10.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 23. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/202610th250/10%36%+0.36
04/03/20268th250/10%63%+0.63
12/04/20267th100/10%57%+0.57