15
Tudorista
5yo Mare · 10-12 · OR 84
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y
#15
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | BHA85 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA87 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA88 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | BHA88 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Thurles | BHA92 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Downpatrick | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 2355% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 23.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 22/07/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 06/08/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 19/09/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 30/10/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 07/08/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |