5
Bold Reflection
8yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 93
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Punchestown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Hexham | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2023-04-26 | Punchestown | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2022-12-26 | Limerick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2395% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 23. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2022 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 26/04/2023 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |
| 07/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |