8
Comanche Moon
6yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 90
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA92 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Limerick | BHA94 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wexford | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Clonmel | BHA95 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-20 | Cork | BHA97 | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-09 | Naas | BHA97 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 2386% of fieldRange 8-23 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -11.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 23. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2024 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 26/12/2024 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 15/01/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 13/02/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 09/03/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 17/03/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 16/04/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.33 |
| 16/05/2026 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 15% | -0.56 |