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Free Flow

6yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 96

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hold-up type. Hasn't made much impact in handicaps since his clear-cut win in Thurles maiden hurdle last spring. Drops another 1 lb having been less-than-ideally placed at Ballinrobe last time, with promising claimer taking over.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA110 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 110 · 2m Sft 172 · below its mark15/12/2025 · OR 110 par15/12110OR 110BHA109 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 109 · 2m Yie 140 · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 109 parBHA109 @ Thurles 18/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 109 · 1m7f168y Yie 149 · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 109 par18/01109OR 109BHA106 @ Naas 04/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 106 · 2m2f180y Sft 162 · below its mark04/03/2026 · OR 106 parBHA103 @ Limerick 22/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 103 · 2m50y Sft 163 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 103 par22/03103OR 103BHA100 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 100 · 2m1f89y Gd 146 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 100 parBHA67 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 67 · 1m4f Yie 171 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 67 par29/0867OR 67BHA98 @ Kilbeggan 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 98 · 2m26y Goo 142 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 98 parBHA97 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 97 · 2m5f208y Goo 143 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 97 par11/0997OR 97projClass-projected finish: 16th of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA9710th10th0
2026-09-04KilbegganBHA984th4th0
2026-08-29CurraghBHA6712th12th0
2026-07-21BallinrobeBHA1006th6th0
2026-03-22LimerickBHA10311th11th0
2026-03-04NaasBHA1069th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/124/0329/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 2327% of fieldRange 12-23 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength10%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 17th of 23. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/202511th16/116%33%+0.18
27/12/20257th33/10%63%+0.63
18/01/202611th12/137%17%-0.20
04/03/20269th20/10%20%+0.20
22/03/202611th12/137%17%-0.20
21/07/20266th11/271%44%-0.27
29/08/202612th80/10%39%+0.39
04/09/20264th15/261%63%+0.02
11/09/202610th9/153%31%-0.22