IvyArcIvyArc
20

Glory Sky

6yo Mare · 10-4 · OR 76

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair winner up to 1m on the Flat for Richard Hannon. Shaped better than the beaten distance when well-held fifth on return at Downpatrick (17f). Cheekpieces on for only second time, though does have stamina to prove back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 03/02/2025 · Pos 22nd of 22 · OR - · 2m44y Hvy 1593/02C8C8 @ Naas 03/04/2025 · Pos 18th of 20 · OR - · 2m Goo 161C8 @ Kilbeggan 25/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 2m Yie 15925/04C8C8 @ Killarney 11/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 159BHA59 @ Limerick 21/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 59 · 1m4f70y Goo 120 · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 59 par21/0659OR 59C8 @ Laytown 04/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 52 · 6f Std 143 · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 52 parBHA80 @ Thurles 16/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 80 · 1m7f172y Goo 149 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 80 par16/1080OR 80BHA78 @ Thurles 29/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 78 · 2m4f Hvy 146 · below its mark29/01/2026 · OR 78 parBHA77 @ Downpatrick 18/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 77 · 2m1f165y Gd 145 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 77 par18/0977OR 77projClass-projected finish: 6th of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18DownpatrickBHA775th5th0
2026-01-29ThurlesBHA788th8th0
2025-10-16ThurlesBHA807th7th0
2025-09-04Laytown?9th9th0
2025-06-21LimerickBHA5910th10th0
2025-05-11Killarney?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0211/0516/1018/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2368% of fieldRange 2-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength61%

Delivery trend +6.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 23. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/202522nd200/10%0%0.00
03/04/202518th125/10%11%+0.11
25/04/202511th150/10%23%+0.23
11/05/20257th200/10%60%+0.60
21/06/202510th66/10%0%0.00
04/09/20259th14/126%11%-0.15
16/10/20257th80/10%65%+0.65
29/01/20268th33/10%53%+0.53
18/09/20265th22/10%64%+0.64