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6

Lady Felicia

5yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 93

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Jukebox Jury mare out of a fairly useful dam (stayed 3m). Ran to a similar level in 3 maiden hurdles, latterly beaten 19 lengths when stepped up markedly in trip at Kilbeggan (25f). Will need to improve for the switch to a handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 2m13y Goo 15126/05C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 15121/07C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 3m170y Goo 15121/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 23
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Kilbeggan?4th4th0
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?5th5th0
2026-05-26Ballinrobe?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0521/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2350% of fieldRange 23-23 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -44.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 23. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20264th100/10%79%+0.79
21/07/20265th11/142%67%+0.25
21/08/20264th6/168%57%-0.11