IvyArcIvyArc
3

Le Roi Arthur

5yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 94

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame on second of 2 starts in points. Gone backwards since his third on hurdling debut at Sligo last July. Opening mark certainly could have been kinder but step up in trip can only benefit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Sligo 13/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 15313/07C8C0 @ Navan 20/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f165y Yie 16420/09C?C8 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 2m Goo 15821/08C8projClass-projected finish: 19th of 23
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Kilbeggan?12th12th0
2026-08-04Roscommon?0
2025-09-20Navan?9th9th0
2025-07-13Sligo?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0720/0921/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 2332% of fieldRange 23-23 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -37.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 23. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20253rd20/10%83%+0.83
20/09/20259th20/10%47%+0.47
21/08/202612th25/10%8%+0.08