4

Minority Interest

6yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 94

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#10

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved when off the mark over C&D in decisive fashion this time last year, soft ground seemingly a catalyst. Shaped well over an inadequate trip at Limerick (2m, heavy) in March prior to running poorly at Cork (good to soft) in May. Could be worth another chance if the rain arrives.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 06/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 1546/07C8BHA88 @ Kilbeggan 26/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 88 · 2m2f200y Goo 157 · below its mark26/07/2024 · OR 88 parBHA87 @ Killarney 17/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 87 · 2m4f85y Yie 144 · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 87 par17/0787OR 87BHA86 @ Kilbeggan 22/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 86 · 2m2f200y Goo 146 · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 86 parBHA86 @ Gowran Park 03/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 86 · 2m4f40y Sft 142 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 86 par3/1086OR 86BHA95 @ Punchestown 11/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 95 · 2m4f170y Sft 141 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 95 parBHA95 @ Gowran Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 95 · 2m4f Hvy 151 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 95 par7/0395OR 95BHA95 @ Limerick 22/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 95 · 2m50y Sft 155 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 95 parBHA95 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 95 · 2m3f50y Goo 152 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 95 par10/0595OR 95projClass-projected finish: 15th of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-10CorkBHA9512th12th0
2026-03-22LimerickBHA955th5th0
2026-03-07Gowran ParkBHA9510th10th0
2026-01-11PunchestownBHA958th8th0
2025-10-03Gowran ParkBHA861st1st0
2025-08-22KilbegganBHA864th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0722/087/0310/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 2323% of fieldRange 7-23 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -7.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 18th of 23. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20247th250/10%0%0.00
26/07/20242nd100/10%92%+0.92
17/07/202511th25/10%17%+0.17
22/08/20254th10/147%67%+0.19
03/10/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
11/01/20268th6/168%50%-0.18
07/03/202610th5/174%25%-0.49
22/03/20265th11/142%67%+0.25
10/05/202612th12/137%21%-0.15