18

Rose Mountain

6yo Mare · 10-8 · OR 80

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y

#19

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has an ordinary pedigree. No form in bumpers/maiden hurdles at long odds. Now tackles low-grade handicap/longer trip for first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Thurles 21/12/2024 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR - · 2m15y Gd 16521/12C?C0 @ Leopardstown 03/03/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 2m Yie 1653/03C?C8 @ Kilbeggan 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m Gd 1518/08C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 2m Goo 15121/08C8projClass-projected finish: 23rd of 23
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Kilbeggan?11th11th0
2026-08-08Kilbeggan?9th9th0
2026-06-01Listowel?0
2025-03-03Leopardstown?12th12th0
2024-12-21Thurles?16th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/123/038/0821/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish22nd of 235% of fieldRange 17-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength21%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 22nd of 23.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/202416th40/10%12%+0.12
03/03/202512th125/10%15%+0.15
08/08/20269th300/10%20%+0.20
21/08/202611th250/10%17%+0.17