13
Stumblin In
7yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 85
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y
#15
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#15
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA87 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA87 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA89 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA89 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | BHA91 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Tramore | BHA93 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 2318% of fieldRange 6-23 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 19th of 23.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2025 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 27% | -0.34 |
| 30/05/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |
| 11/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 08/08/2025 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 23% | -0.35 |
| 15/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 20/04/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.00 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 47% | -0.29 |
| 21/07/2026 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |