15
Sunrise Strider
5yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 83
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 10.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Punchestown | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Limerick | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cork | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Naas | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-06-02 | Listowel | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 2355% of fieldRange 8-23 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 23.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 09/11/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/12/2025 | 14th | 125/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/01/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |