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19

Talas Kera

5yo Mare · 10-5 · OR 77

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y

#14

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#14

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Benefited as expected for drop back in trip when 6 lengths fourth in big-field event at Tramore in August. That form has been franked by the second/third, and she's one of the more appealing types on just third handicap start.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sligo 20/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f89y Gd 15720/08C?C0 @ Punchestown 15/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m95y Goo 150C0 @ Fairyhouse 30/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m Yie 15730/11C?C0 @ Fairyhouse 01/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 2m Yie 153C0 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 16129/05C?C0 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f200y Goo 151C8 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 79 · 3m100y Gd 151 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 79 par3/07C8OR 79BHA79 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 79 · 3m Gd 147 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 79 parBHA77 @ Tramore 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 77 · 2m4f100y Gd 149 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 77 par13/0877OR 77projClass-projected finish: 4th of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13TramoreBHA774th4th0
2026-07-23WexfordBHA7912th12th0
2026-07-03Wexford?4th4th0
2026-06-15Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2026-05-29Tramore?7th7th0
2026-01-26Punchestown?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/081/013/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 2373% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 23. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20257th28/10%14%+0.14
15/10/20257th66/10%33%+0.33
30/11/20258th150/10%46%+0.46
01/01/20263rd100/10%33%+0.33
29/05/20267th33/10%40%+0.40
15/06/20265th100/10%43%+0.43
03/07/20264th40/10%70%+0.70
23/07/202612th12/137%15%-0.21
13/08/20264th18/15%80%+0.75