12
Thurman
6yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 87
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y
#20
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#20
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA90 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA93 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Fairyhouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-12-26 | Leopardstown | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-11-17 | Navan | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Wexford | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 2341% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 23. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 17/11/2024 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |