21
Trixaboutmaisie
5yo Mare · 10-9 · OR 81
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 40y
#21
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#21
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA83 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA85 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Wexford | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Downpatrick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Downpatrick | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish23rd of 230% of fieldRange 7-23 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -16.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 23rd of 23. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/10/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 23/07/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 23% | -0.43 |