13
Bop Wont Stop
6yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 105
Gowran Park · Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y
#15
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | BHA106 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | BHA106 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Gowran Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-02-27 | Clonmel | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Navan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-01-17 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/02/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 27/02/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 08/03/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 74% | +0.74 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |