6
In For The Night
8yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 114
Gowran Park · Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C11.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA105 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA106 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Fairyhouse | BHA111 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Navan | BHA113 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Punchestown | BHA114 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-04-30 | Punchestown | BHA114 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 96% | +0.35 |
| 31/12/2024 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |
| 03/04/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 30/04/2025 | 19th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/06/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 20/09/2025 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |