9
Jackmoon
7yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 109
Gowran Park · Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Punchestown | BHA109 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA109 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Punchestown | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 03/05/2024 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 21/04/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 19/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 06/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |