3
Plunkett Street
8yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 117
Gowran Park · Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | BHA63 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Gowran Park | BHA64 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Punchestown | BHA117 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Thurles | BHA110 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Cork | BHA106 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Curragh | BHA64 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 11-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 77% | +0.08 |
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 09/10/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 45% | -0.37 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 11/01/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 21% | -0.15 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 25/04/2026 | 14th | 17/2 | 55% | 32% | -0.24 |