10
Ripsnorter
5yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 109
Gowran Park · Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Downpatrick | BHA99 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | BHA99 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Listowel | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Roscommon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 27/09/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 10/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |