1
Slane Hill
9yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 120
Gowran Park · Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Fairyhouse | BHA123 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Kilbeggan | BHA120 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-09 | Roscommon | BHA121 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-16 | Kilbeggan | BHA126 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Fairyhouse | BHA125 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-29 | Leopardstown | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 15/10/2024 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 47% | -0.14 |
| 16/11/2024 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 29/12/2024 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.37 |
| 22/02/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 16/05/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 09/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 79% | +0.10 |
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 85/40 | 89% | 43% | -0.46 |
| 06/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |