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Alicious

4yo Filly · 11-6

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed) · 2m 100y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€25,000 3-y-o, Pastorius filly who knew her job and made a successful debut with a bit more in hand than the bare margin implies in 7-runner bumper at Wexford (2m) in August, but will need to step up on that form to play a leading role in this appreciably better race.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m Goo 1598/08C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Wexford?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20261st7/491%100%+0.09