7

Elegantemente

4yo Filly · 11-6

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed) · 2m 100y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

No Risk At All filly who looked a useful prospect when decisive winner of 11-runner bumper at Ballinrobe (2m) on debut 39 days ago. Runner-up has since franked that form, and she appeals as the sort to go on to better things.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Ballinrobe 24/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m54y Gd 15924/08C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Ballinrobe?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20261st8/158%100%+0.42