9

Hutton Star

4yo Filly · 11-6

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed) · 2m 100y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sottsass filly. Dam (h144) 2m/17f hurdle winner, also 11f-2½m winner on Flat. Attracted support and overcame signs of inexperience to make a winning debut in 11-runner bumper at Down Royal (17f) in late August. That form has taken a couple of knocks since but she's well worth a shot at his level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Goo 15528/08C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Down Royal?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength54%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20261st13/266%100%+0.34