10

Lake Pippaway

4yo Filly · 11-6

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed) · 2m 100y

#13

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★ Timeform

Commentary

Getaway filly who is probably better than her 2 sound defeats in bumpers might imply but is easily passed over at this level all the same.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 30/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m100y Yie 15930/05C?C0 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 2m160y Sft 1637/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Galway?7th7th0
2026-05-30Listowel?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/057/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +79.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20266th9/153%38%-0.15
07/09/20267th28/10%65%+0.65