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11

Lola O C

4yo Filly · 11-6

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed) · 2m 100y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Walk In The Park filly who justified support when making a winning debut in quite taking fashion in 13-runner bumper at Roscommon (15f, good to soft) in early August. Presumably the choice of John Gleeson and there's better to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m7f110y Yie 1574/08C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Roscommon?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09