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12

Sarahs Lawn

4yo Filly · 11-6

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed) · 2m 100y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yeats filly. Dam unraced. Off mark in points at second attempt in late April and created an even better impression when landing 18-runner bumper at Galway (17f) on Rules debut in July, knuckling down well to lead close home. Open to improvement up in grade.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR - · 2m175y Goo 1621/08C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Galway?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20261st6/168%100%+0.32