5

Village Dream

6yo Mare · 11-7

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed) · 2m 100y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mastercraftsman mare who proved her debut hadn't done her justice when justifying support in 12-runner bumper at Tramore (2m) 47 days ago. Was perhaps at an advantage in racing wide there but it's dangerous to assume she's shown her all.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 16116/07C?C0 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 2m140y Goo 16516/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Tramore?1st1st0
2026-07-16Killarney?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength50%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20265th13/266%71%+0.06
16/08/20261st4/596%100%+0.04