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13

Weaponized

4yo Filly · 11-6

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed) · 2m 100y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Walk In The Park filly who has made an encouraging start to her career, going like the best horse at the weights upped in trip when runner-up at Wexford (2½m, good to soft, 7/4) in May, making effort earlier than ideal. This is tougher but she could have more to offer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m1f88y Gd 1574/05C?C0 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 15327/05C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-27Wexford?2nd2nd0
2026-05-04Down Royal?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0527/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12
27/05/20262nd7/491%92%+0.01