14

Avalanche Alley

3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 51

Greyville · Lucky Fish Lucky Break Maiden Plate (F & M) · 5f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

16/1, eighth of 9 in minor event at Scottsville (5f, soft). Off 159 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 26/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 13226/04C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-26Scottsville?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20268th14/126%13%-0.14