10
Chihiro
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 54
Greyville · Lucky Fish Lucky Break Maiden Plate (F & M) · 5f 212y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Durbanville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 17/12/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/01/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |