9
Meghan's Diamond
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 65
Greyville · Lucky Fish Lucky Break Maiden Plate (F & M) · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Durbanville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 24/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 21/01/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 46% | -0.33 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 04/03/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 43% | -0.51 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 56% | -0.30 |
| 22/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |