15
Miss Charisma
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 44
Greyville · Lucky Fish Lucky Break Maiden Plate (F & M) · 5f 212y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Scottsville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 13-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -24.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 23/08/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |