3

Blenheim Palace

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 73

Greyville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

92%

Place Prob

64%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sixth of 8 in maiden at this course (9.9f, good to soft, 83/100) 28 days ago. Back down in trip. Booking of De Melo a plus. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1322/05C8C8 @ Greyville 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12320/05C8C8 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12328/06C8C8 @ Scottsville 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1328/07C8C8 @ Scottsville 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12329/07C8C8 @ Greyville 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 1344/09C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Greyville?6th6th0
2026-07-29Scottsville?2nd2nd0
2026-07-08Scottsville?3rd3rd0
2026-06-28Scottsville?5th5th0
2026-05-20Greyville?4th4th0
2026-05-02Greyville?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0520/0528/068/0729/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/05/20267th15/261%33%-0.27
20/05/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
28/06/20265th12/137%60%+0.23
08/07/20263rd2/189%75%-0.14
29/07/20262nd15/890%88%-0.03
04/09/20266th8/1196%29%-0.68