13

Midnight Garden

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 42

Greyville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y

#14

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Eighth of 12 in maiden (125/1) at Scottsville (8f, good) 19 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 9.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 18/02/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 5f103y GS 13218/02C8C8 @ Greyville 02/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1322/05C8C8 @ Greyville 17/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13217/06C8C8 @ Scottsville 23/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12623/08C8C8 @ Scottsville 13/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12613/09C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Scottsville?8th8th0
2026-08-23Scottsville?6th6th0
2026-06-17Greyville?8th8th0
2026-05-02Greyville?10th10th0
2026-02-18Scottsville?16th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/022/0517/0623/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +10.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/02/202616th80/10%0%0.00
02/05/202610th100/10%0%0.00
17/06/20268th80/10%0%0.00
23/08/20266th80/10%29%+0.29
13/09/20268th66/10%36%+0.36