IvyArcIvyArc
9

New Chapter

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 34

Greyville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, last of 15 in maiden at Scottsville (5f, good) 40 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 19/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13219/07C8C8 @ Scottsville 23/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12823/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Scottsville?15th15th0
2026-07-19Scottsville?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0723/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +76.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20265th9/276%0%-0.76
23/08/202615th33/10%0%0.00