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5

Coast Of The Sun

3yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 82

Greyville · Tote For The Win Mr 95 Open Handicap (3-Year-Olds) · 6f 211y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/10

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. Won 8-runner handicap (72/100) at Scottsville (7f, good) 65 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 1.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1329/05C8C8 @ Greyville 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13230/05C84 @ Scottsville 29/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS29/074projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Scottsville41st-1th+1
2026-05-30Greyville?1st4th−3
2026-05-09Greyville?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0530/0529/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -27.4% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
30/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
29/07/20261st4/696%100%+0.04