4
Kid From The South
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 41
Greyville · Tote For The Win Mr 95 Open Handicap (3-Year-Olds) · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -28.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |