3
Mustang Highway
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 76
Greyville · Tote For The Win Mr 95 Open Handicap (3-Year-Olds) · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-14 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-07-12 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -14.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |