7

Periwinkle

3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 70

Greyville · Tote For The Win Mr 95 Open Handicap (3-Year-Olds) · 6f 211y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

1 win from 2 runs this year. 3/1, won 8-runner maiden at Scottsville (7f, good) 40 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y GS 1267/08C8C8 @ Scottsville 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12623/08C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Scottsville?1st4th−3
2026-08-07Greyville?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0823/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength2%

Delivery trend -39.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
23/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16