8

Prized Possession

3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 75

Greyville · Tote For The Win Mr 95 Open Handicap (3-Year-Olds) · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

1 win from 3 runs this year. 83/100, won 11-runner minor event at Scottsville (7f, good) 72 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Looks competitive on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 22/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 13222/03C8C8 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13228/06C8C8 @ Scottsville 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13222/07C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Scottsville?1st4th−3
2026-06-28Scottsville?2nd5th−3
2026-03-22Greyville?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0328/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength86%

Delivery trend +9.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
28/06/20262nd11/486%93%+0.08
22/07/20261st4/596%100%+0.04