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10

Isivivane

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 93

Greyville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za Conditions Plate · 6f 211y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Five wins from 17 Flat runs. 3 wins from 7 runs this year. 3 lengths tenth of 14 to Zeitz in listed race at this course (8f, good, 7/1) 68 days ago. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.1
Today:
Class gap: +2.9
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Greyville 25/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS25/11C5C4 @ Greyville 26/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 07/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS7/01C5C5 @ Scottsville 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f153y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 23/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m209y Std 136 · HIGHER CLASS23/02C5C0 @ Greyville 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 121C1 @ Greyville 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f98y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS9/05C1C0 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 1m2f206y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS26/07C1projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Greyville?10th5th+4
2026-07-04Greyville?5th-1th+5
2026-05-09Greyville?1st-4th+4
2026-04-11Greyville?4th4th0
2026-02-23Greyville?1st0th+1
2026-02-08Scottsville?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/118/029/0526/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength52%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/11/20253rd5/287%78%-0.09
26/12/20252nd11/486%88%+0.02
07/01/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
08/02/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08
23/02/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
11/04/20264th17/255%73%+0.17
09/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
04/07/20265th8/158%76%+0.19
26/07/202610th6/168%31%-0.38