Malmesbury Missile
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 96
Greyville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za Conditions Plate · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 1st | +5 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2026-05-02 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 0th | +5 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Greyville | ? | 1st | -4th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 54% | -0.25 |
| 22/11/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 13/12/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |