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8

Musical Score

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 41

Greyville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za Conditions Plate · 6f 211y

#12

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

13/2, last of 10 in minor event at Turffontein (7f, good). Off 145 days. First run for yard after leaving M. N. Houdalakis. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Turffontein 06/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS6/07C1C0 @ Turffontein 04/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Turffontein 01/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f210y GS 121 · HIGHER CLASS1/11C?C5 @ Vaal 11/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Turffontein 27/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS27/12C5C5 @ Turffontein 11/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Turffontein 14/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS14/03C5C5 @ Turffontein 19/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f210y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Turffontein 10/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS10/05C5projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-10Turffontein?10th9th+1
2026-04-19Turffontein?4th3rd+1
2026-03-14Turffontein?3rd2nd+1
2026-01-11Turffontein?9th8th+1
2025-12-27Turffontein?4th3rd+1
2025-12-11Vaal?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0711/1214/0310/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20253rd6/168%71%+0.03
04/10/202510th10/147%31%-0.17
01/11/20259th25/10%47%+0.47
11/12/20253rd2/189%60%-0.29
27/12/20254th8/158%25%-0.33
11/01/20269th10/147%0%-0.47
14/03/20263rd10/147%78%+0.30
19/04/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
10/05/202610th11/271%0%-0.71