5

Powerandtheglory

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 98

Greyville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za Conditions Plate · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

5/2, didn't need to improve to win 7-runner minor event at Scottsville (8f, good) 54 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength84%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kenilworth 19/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13219/11C?C2 @ Kenilworth 13/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Kenilworth 10/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS10/01C5C5 @ Kenilworth 31/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 112 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Durbanville 14/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12914/02C?C1 @ Kenilworth 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Greyville 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12910/06C?3 @ Greyville 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 136 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Scottsville 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1369/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Scottsville?1st1st0
2026-07-12Greyville31st-1th+2
2026-06-10Greyville?2nd2nd0
2026-04-27Kenilworth?5th0th+4
2026-02-14Durbanville?4th4th0
2026-01-31Kenilworth?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1131/0110/069/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength72%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/11/20253rd2/189%75%-0.14
13/12/202511th66/10%41%+0.41
10/01/20262nd6/168%92%+0.23
31/01/20262nd4/179%92%+0.13
14/02/20264th9/488%57%-0.31
27/04/20265th9/276%64%-0.13
10/06/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
12/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
09/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13