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12

Zeitz

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 101

Greyville · Bet With Tote www.tote.co.za Conditions Plate · 6f 211y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Five wins from 17 Flat runs. 3 wins from 6 runs this year. 17/2, career best when winning 14-runner listed race at this course (8f, good) 68 days ago by neck from Major Master. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.6
Today:
Class gap: +3.4
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Durbanville 18/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS18/10C5C1 @ Kenilworth 08/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASSC3 @ Kenilworth 13/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS13/12C3C0 @ Kenilworth 10/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Kenilworth 28/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS28/02C1C5 @ Scottsville 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASSC3 @ Greyville 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS6/06C3C0 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 1m2f206y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS26/07C1projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Greyville?1st-4th+4
2026-07-04Greyville?8th2nd+5
2026-06-06Greyville?1st-1th+2
2026-05-17Scottsville?1st0th+1
2026-02-28Kenilworth?3rd-2th+4
2026-01-10Kenilworth?5th0th+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1010/016/0626/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/10/20252nd4/179%88%+0.09
08/11/20254th11/1094%63%-0.32
13/12/20253rd5/287%75%-0.12
10/01/20265th17/255%56%+0.00
28/02/20263rd11/271%75%+0.04
17/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
06/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
04/07/20268th11/142%59%+0.17
26/07/20261st7/163%100%+0.37