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9

Arverni Princess

6yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 76

Greyville · Lucky Fish Diamond Riches Class 4 (F & M) · 4f 214y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

72%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3-time C&D winner. Ten wins from 34 Flat runs. 5 wins from 10 runs this year. Latest win at Scottsville in July. 11/2, respectable third of 9 in minor event at Scottsville (5f, good) 19 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Turffontein 21/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 11521/02C5C5 @ Scottsville 05/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 4f214y GS 131C0 @ Greyville 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1f217y GS 1162/05C?4 @ Scottsville 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 123C5 @ Greyville 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Std 1276/06C5C5 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1414 @ Scottsville 19/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12919/0744 @ Scottsville 09/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 132C5 @ Scottsville 13/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13213/09C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Scottsville?3rd4th−1
2026-08-09Scottsville44th4th0
2026-07-19Scottsville41st1st0
2026-06-28Scottsville?1st2nd−1
2026-06-06Greyville?7th8th−1
2026-05-17Scottsville41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0217/0519/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
05/04/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
02/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
17/05/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
06/06/20267th3/184%25%-0.59
28/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
19/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
09/08/20264th5/174%70%-0.04
13/09/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01