7
Captain's Pride
4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 34
Greyville · Lucky Fish Diamond Riches Class 4 (F & M) · 4f 214y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Scottsville | ? | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Greyville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 21/09/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |