2
Japura
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 84
Greyville · Lucky Fish Diamond Riches Class 4 (F & M) · 4f 214y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -3.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-02-08 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-01-25 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 27% | -0.39 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 11/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |